Publications

Articles

2026

Blasco et al.: Variability Antarctica, in prep. in prep ClimTip TIPMIP

Bochow, N., Hess, P., and Robinson, A.: Physics-constrained generative machine learning-based high-resolution downscaling of Greenland’s surface mass balance and surface temperature, The Cryosphere, 20, 1841–1866, doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-1841-2026, 2026. FORCLIMA

Bochow, N., Kroenke, J., Garbe, J., and Wunderling, N.: Informing low-order models of climate tipping elements using outputs from higher-complexity Earth system models, Earth Syst. Dynam., submitted. submitted FORCLIMA

Grusdt, B. et al.: Strategies for learning from model ensembles, in prep. in prep FORCLIMA

Gutiérrez-González, L., Robinson, A., Alvarez-Solas, J., Tabone, I., Swierczek-Jereczek, J., Moreno-Parada, D., and Montoya, M.: Hysteresis of the Greenland ice sheet from the Last Glacial Maximum to the future, The Cryosphere, 20, 1139–1162, doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-1139-2026, 2026.

Hebert, R. et al.: Inferring climate from pollen, in prep. in prep FORCLIMA

Höse, A. et al.: Simulating the impact of an AMOC weakening on the Antarctic Ice Sheet using a coupled climate and ice sheet model, in review. in review FORCLIMA

Höse, A. et al.: Millennial-scale oscillations in the Southern Ocean in a warmer climate, in prep. in prep FORCLIMA

Höse, A. et al.: Probabilistic estimates of AMOC evolution under future warming, in prep. in prep FORCLIMA

Juarez-Martinez, A., Robinson, A., Swierczek-Jereczek, J., Blasco, J., Alvarez-Solas, J., and Montoya, M.: Parameterizing tidal-water intrusions in long-term Antarctic ice-sheet projections, The Cryosphere, 20, 5345–5363, doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-5345-2026, 2026.

Kypke, K., Montoya, M., Robinson, A., Alvarez-Solas, J., Swierczek-Jereczek, J., and Ditlevsen, P.: Chaotic fluctuations in Greenland ice streams limit predictability of ice sheet collapse, Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 769–794, doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-769-2026, 2026.

Perrette, M. et al.: Robust reconstruction of the LGM climate, in prep. in prep FORCLIMA

Pérez-Montero, S., Alvarez-Solas, J., Swierczek-Jereczek, J., Moreno-Parada, D., Robinson, A., and Montoya, M.: Exploring the Mid-Pleistocene transition with a simple physical model, Clim. Past, 22, 625–646, doi.org/10.5194/cp-22-625-2026, 2026.

Swierczek-Jereczek, J., Blasco, J., Robinson, A., Alvarez-Solas, J., and Montoya, M.: Antarctic marine-based ice destabilized when warming outpaces solid-Earth feedbacks, Nature Geoscience, doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02117-8, 2026. FORCLIMA ClimTip

Willeit, M. et al.: Long-term future Greenland ice loss determined by peak global warming, in review. in review FORCLIMA

Qian, Z., Liu, T., Bathiany, S., Yang, S., Hess, P., Bochow, N., Burmester, C., Gelbrecht, M., Groenke, B., and Boers, N.: Generative reconstruction mitigates biases in historical climate records, in prep. in prep FORCLIMA

Wang, S., Bochow, N., Boers, N., Shin, Y., Yun, K. S., Park, J. Y., …, and Kug, J. S.: Mitigating Antarctic ice loss requires negative emissions, in prep. in prep FORCLIMA

2025

Fischer, E. M., Bador, M., Huser, R., Kendon, E. J., Robinson, A., and Sippel, S.: Record-breaking extremes in a warming climate, Nat. Rev. Earth Environ., doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00681-y, 2025.

Moreno-Parada, D., Robinson, A., Montoya, M., and Alvarez-Solas, J.: Description and validation of the ice-sheet model Nix v1.0, Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3895–3919, doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3895-2025, 2025.

Pérez-Montero, S., Alvarez-Solas, J., Swierczek-Jereczek, J., Moreno-Parada, D., Robinson, A., and Montoya, M.: A simple physical model for glacial cycles, Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 915–937, doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-915-2025, 2025.

2024

Blasco, J., Tabone, I., Moreno-Parada, D., Robinson, A., Alvarez-Solas, J., Pattyn, F., and Montoya, M.: Antarctic tipping points triggered by the mid-Pliocene warm climate, Clim. Past, 20, 1919–1938, doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1919-2024, 2024.

Juarez-Martinez, A., Blasco, J., Robinson, A., Montoya, M., and Alvarez-Solas, J.: Antarctic sensitivity to oceanic melting parameterizations, The Cryosphere, 18, 4257–4283, doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4257-2024, 2024.

Moreno-Parada, D., Robinson, A., Montoya, M., and Alvarez-Solas, J.: Analytical solutions for the advective–diffusive ice column in the presence of strain heating, The Cryosphere, 18, 4215–4232, doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4215-2024, 2024.

Petrakopoulou, F. and Robinson, A.: Evaluation of a concentrated solar power plant under meteorological and climatological forcing, Energy Reports, 11, 4776–4783, doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2024.04.044, 2024.

Rieckh, T., Born, A., Robinson, A., Law, R., and Gülle, G.: Design and performance of ELSA v2.0: an isochronal model for ice-sheet layer tracing, Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6987–7000, doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6987-2024, 2024.

Seroussi, H., Pelle, T., Lipscomb, W. H., …, Robinson, A., …, and Zwinger, T.: Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet over the next three centuries from an ISMIP6 model ensemble, Earth’s Future, 12, e2024EF004561, doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004561, 2024.

Swierczek-Jereczek, J., Montoya, M., Latychev, K., Robinson, A., Alvarez-Solas, J., and Mitrovica, J.: FastIsostasy v1.0 – a regional, accelerated 2D glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) model accounting for the lateral variability of the solid Earth, Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5263–5290, doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5263-2024, 2024.

Tabone, I., Robinson, A., Montoya, M., and Alvarez-Solas, J.: Holocene thinning in central Greenland controlled by the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream, Nat. Commun., 15, 6434, doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-50772-5, 2024.

2023

Bochow, N., Poltronieri, A., Robinson, A., Montoya, M., Rypdal, M., and Boers, N.: Overshooting the critical threshold for the Greenland ice sheet, Nature, 622, 528–536, doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06503-9, 2023.

Malmierca-Vallet, I., Sime, L. C., and the D–O community members: Dansgaard–Oeschger events in climate models: review and baseline Marine Isotope Stage 3 (MIS3) protocol, Clim. Past, 19, 915–942, doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-915-2023, 2023.

Moreno-Parada, D., Alvarez-Solas, J., Blasco, J., Montoya, M., and Robinson, A.: Simulating the Laurentide Ice Sheet of the Last Glacial Maximum, The Cryosphere, 17, 2139–2156, doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2139-2023, 2023.

Swierczek-Jereczek, J., Robinson, A., Blasco, J., Alvarez-Solas, J., and Montoya, M.: Time-scale synchronisation of oscillatory responses can lead to non-monotonous R-tipping, Sci. Rep., 13, 2104, doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-28771-1, 2023.

Conferences

2026

Höse, A. et al.: Investigating Stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation using CLIMBER-X, OSM 2026. Talk

Höse, A. et al.: TIPMIP AMOC simulations using CLIMBER-X, TIPMIP GA 2026. Poster

2025

Grusdt, B. et al.: Forming a robust estimate of the climate state through a model ensemble weighting approach, EGU 2025. Talk

Höse, A. et al.: Understanding multi-millennial variability in the Southern Ocean, EGU 2025. Poster